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STMPA:EURONEXT PARISSTMicroelectronics NV Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time

€29.22

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

STMicroelectronics is trading at €29.22, just below the calculated resistance of €29.71 and well above the support level of €25.68, indicating limited upside of roughly 0.4% versus its DCF fair value of €26.63.
The technical picture is mixed: RSI is elevated at 60.9, suggesting momentum, but the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is bearish, hinting at a near‑term pull‑back. Volume is on an increasing trend, while 30‑day volatility is high at 49%, and the computed beta of 0.32 points to low market sensitivity. Fundamentals show a trailing PE of 182× versus an industry average of 37×, but a forward PE of 16.7× and a forward EPS of €1.75 imply the market is pricing in significant earnings growth. Dividend yield sits at 1.21% with a payout ratio of 200%, raising concerns about dividend sustainability. Overall, the stock appears fairly valued with modest upside, strong long‑term industry tailwinds, but short‑term technical pressure and an unsustainable dividend policy.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near resistance with bearish MACD signal
  • Elevated RSI indicating overbought conditions
  • High short‑term volatility (49%)

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Forward PE of 16.7× suggests earnings acceleration
  • Increasing volume trend supporting demand
  • Bullish trend direction despite short‑term technical weakness

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Secular growth in semiconductor and automotive markets
  • Strong cash position relative to debt
  • Diversified product portfolio across analog, power, and RF segments

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth0.20%
Profit Margin1.41%
P/E Ratio182.6
ROE1.00%
ROA1.25%
Debt/Equity12.92
P/B Ratio1.7
Op. Cash Flow€2.2B
Free Cash Flow€-407375008
Industry P/E36.8

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI60.9
Support€25.67
Resistance€29.71
MA 20€28.29
MA 50€25.92
MA 200€23.96
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index76.91

Valuation

Fair Value€26.63
Target Price€29.34
Upside/Downside0.40%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.21%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.32
Volatility49.39%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.