STMPA:EURONEXT PARISSTMicroelectronics NV Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time
€29.22
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
STMicroelectronics is trading at €29.22, just below the calculated resistance of €29.71 and well above the support level of €25.68, indicating limited upside of roughly 0.4% versus its DCF fair value of €26.63.
The technical picture is mixed: RSI is elevated at 60.9, suggesting momentum, but the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is bearish, hinting at a near‑term pull‑back. Volume is on an increasing trend, while 30‑day volatility is high at 49%, and the computed beta of 0.32 points to low market sensitivity. Fundamentals show a trailing PE of 182× versus an industry average of 37×, but a forward PE of 16.7× and a forward EPS of €1.75 imply the market is pricing in significant earnings growth. Dividend yield sits at 1.21% with a payout ratio of 200%, raising concerns about dividend sustainability. Overall, the stock appears fairly valued with modest upside, strong long‑term industry tailwinds, but short‑term technical pressure and an unsustainable dividend policy.
The technical picture is mixed: RSI is elevated at 60.9, suggesting momentum, but the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is bearish, hinting at a near‑term pull‑back. Volume is on an increasing trend, while 30‑day volatility is high at 49%, and the computed beta of 0.32 points to low market sensitivity. Fundamentals show a trailing PE of 182× versus an industry average of 37×, but a forward PE of 16.7× and a forward EPS of €1.75 imply the market is pricing in significant earnings growth. Dividend yield sits at 1.21% with a payout ratio of 200%, raising concerns about dividend sustainability. Overall, the stock appears fairly valued with modest upside, strong long‑term industry tailwinds, but short‑term technical pressure and an unsustainable dividend policy.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near resistance with bearish MACD signal
- Elevated RSI indicating overbought conditions
- High short‑term volatility (49%)
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Forward PE of 16.7× suggests earnings acceleration
- Increasing volume trend supporting demand
- Bullish trend direction despite short‑term technical weakness
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Secular growth in semiconductor and automotive markets
- Strong cash position relative to debt
- Diversified product portfolio across analog, power, and RF segments
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth0.20%
Profit Margin1.41%
P/E Ratio182.6
ROE1.00%
ROA1.25%
Debt/Equity12.92
P/B Ratio1.7
Op. Cash Flow€2.2B
Free Cash Flow€-407375008
Industry P/E36.8
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI60.9
Support€25.67
Resistance€29.71
MA 20€28.29
MA 50€25.92
MA 200€23.96
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index76.91
Valuation
Fair Value€26.63
Target Price€29.34
Upside/Downside0.40%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.21%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.32
Volatility49.39%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.